Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.163993 0.187552 0.214154 0.246586 0.285284 0.330264 0.386910
2025-07-06 0.125508 0.155528 0.193018 0.243989 0.312598 0.403398 0.535500
2025-07-13 0.105096 0.138180 0.182747 0.248714 0.346613 0.491210 0.730388
2025-07-20 0.091625 0.126197 0.175663 0.254158 0.380668 0.586396 0.969181
2025-07-27 0.081697 0.116907 0.169878 0.259074 0.413608 0.687752 1.257671
2025-08-03 0.074452 0.110142 0.166257 0.265913 0.450428 0.805866 1.630080
2025-08-10 0.067777 0.103121 0.160820 0.268133 0.478878 0.916474 2.041698
2025-08-17 0.062034 0.096734 0.155293 0.268814 0.504095 1.028277 2.518774
2025-08-24 0.056863 0.090596 0.149210 0.267123 0.523767 1.134236 3.046662
2025-08-31 0.052130 0.084627 0.142562 0.263006 0.537021 1.229442 3.608864
2025-09-07 0.049374 0.081805 0.141268 0.269482 0.576083 1.406740 4.594552
2025-09-14 0.045629 0.076779 0.135129 0.264535 0.586311 1.508076 5.384951
2025-09-21 0.043024 0.073660 0.132445 0.267057 0.617198 1.688299 6.726205
2025-09-28 0.040108 0.069672 0.127569 0.263819 0.632324 1.827034 8.054155
2025-10-05 0.038267 0.067574 0.126307 0.268916 0.672520 2.074508 10.371301
2025-10-12 0.036668 0.065784 0.125457 0.274881 0.717359 2.366745 13.548152
2025-10-19 0.035159 0.064025 0.124455 0.280289 0.762485 2.690543 17.751212
2025-10-26 0.033927 0.062710 0.124266 0.287823 0.817407 3.098080 23.959290
2025-11-02 0.032440 0.060725 0.122326 0.290271 0.856036 3.459728 31.095337
2025-11-09 0.030967 0.058640 0.119922 0.291021 0.889206 3.822768 39.993680
2025-11-16 0.029455 0.056349 0.116789 0.289157 0.912311 4.152749 50.349826
2025-11-23 0.027913 0.053871 0.112957 0.284618 0.923853 4.427844 61.711712
2025-11-30 0.027127 0.053000 0.112956 0.291758 0.986308 5.097988 88.159652